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Case Study

Tesco : AI-Powered Supply Chain Revolution


Retail & E-commerce

Tesco – AI for Smart Supply Chain Optimization

Our AI supply chain solution enabled a leading retail chain to refine its stock management and replenishment workflows. By analyzing product demand trends, customer buying behavior, and seasonal shifts, the AI continuously forecasts stock requirements with precision. We built machine learning pipelines that integrate with their existing ERP, offering real-time alerts for low-stock items and automating restocking decisions. This dynamic system significantly reduced inventory waste, improved product availability on shelves, and enhanced operational efficiency across stores. Tesco now relies on intelligent automation to keep its shelves stocked and customers satisfied, while also saving millions annually on logistics and warehousing costs.

Project Overview

  • Client: Tesco, the UK’s largest retailer, makes £65 billion.
  • Challenge: 32% perishable waste in fresh food categories + £220M annual overstock costs
  • Goal: Create a real-time AI inventory system for:
    • Cut waste by ≥25%
    • Improve shelf availability to >98%
    • Integrate with SAP S/4HANA ERP
  • My Role: Lead AI Architect (GenX Software Team)
  • Team: 8 (4 Data Scientists, 2 ERP Specialists, 2 Cloud Engineers)
  • Timeline: 9 months (Pilot to Full Scale)

“GenX’s artificial intelligence now makes 83% of our replenishment decisions autonomously.” It’s like having 200 veteran category managers working 24/7.”

Anup Shetty

Tesco Chief Supply Chain Officer

The Challenge

Critical Pain Points:
  • £1.2M/day in spoiled fresh produce
  • 11% out-of-stock rates during peak demand
  • Outdated system failed to analyze:
    • 2.5M+ daily POS transactions
    • 200+ demand drivers: weather, events, promotions
Technical Hurdles:
  • Seamless SAP system integration
  • Explainable AI for compliance audits
  • 500ms latency for store-level decisions

Tech Stack

Component Technologies
Data Engineering Azure Databricks, Delta Lake
ML Models Prophet, XGBoost, PyTorch
MLOps MLflow, Kubeflow
Cloud Azure (AKS, Functions)
ERP Integration SAP BTP, OData APIs
Monitoring Prometheus, Grafana

Key Innovations

Tesco’s “Just-in-Time Perishables” system dynamically routed short-shelf-life items to high-traffic stores. AI detected viral trends and adapted inventory in real-time to prevent stockouts. Self-learning order policies helped navigate strikes and supply delays, making restocking smarter and faster.

Just-in-Time Perishables” System

Dynamic routing of short-life commodities to high-traffic retailers.

Result : 28% reduction in dairy waste

Promotion Shock Absorber

AI detected and adjusted for unplanned viral trends (e.g., #TikTokPasta)

Result : Prevented £4.7M stockouts during 2023 Christmas

Self-Learning Order Policies

Continuously adapted to :

  • Truck driver Strikes
  • Supplier delays

Result : 19% fewer emergency deliveries

Our AI/ML Architecture

Core Models

  • Demand Forecasting
    • Hybrid Prophet+XGBoost model (MAPE 3.2% vs legacy 11.7%)
    • Incorporated
      • Micro-local trends (e.g., school holidays)
      • Promotional lift curves
  • Perishability Optimizer
    • Computer vision-powered ripeness monitoring
    • Reinforcement learning for dynamic markdowns
  • Autonomous Replenishment:
    • Adaptive decision-making via multi-armed bandits
    • Real-time SAP PO generation

Data Pipeline

  • Sources
    • SAP ERP (inventory)
    • Store IoT sensors (foot traffic and shelf weight)
    • 3rd-party APIs (weather, local events)
  • Processing: Apache Spark on Azure Databricks, handling 15TB/day.

Integration Layer

  • SAP BTP middleware with:
    • Fallback to legacy rules during AI confidence < 90%
    • Human-in-the-loop approval for >£50k orders

Quantified Impact

Fresh Food Waste
Before AI

32%

After AI

23%

Shelf Availability
Before AI

89%

After AI

98.6%

Forecast Accuracy (MAPE)
Before AI

11.7%

After AI

3.2%

Operational Costs
Before AI

£220M/yr

After AI

£173M/yr

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